Some things I’ve found interesting and useful lately:
What I think is a pretty important article from LANL: High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2. This tackles the questions I wondered about in my steady state growth post, i.e. that high observed growth rates imply high R0 if duration of infectiousness is long.
Earlier in the epidemic, this was already a known problem:
A similar policy tracker for the world
The covidtracking database. Very useful, if you don’t mind a little mysterious turbulence in variable naming.
The Kinsa thermometer US health weather map
Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period has some interesting dynamics, including seasonality.
Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 transmission suggests epidemic control with digital contact tracing looks at requirements for contact tracing and isolation
Models for Count Data With Overdispersion has important considerations for calibration
Variolation: hmm. Filed under “interesting but possibly crazy.”
Creative, and less obviously crazy: An alternating lock-down strategy for sustainable mitigation of COVID-19